I wrote a piece about how uncertain all those models you've read are, and why you should take predictions with a grain of salt @CaulfieldTim @ellyhowse @trentyarwood @MackayIMhttps://www.businesspost.ie/analysts/why-covid-19-predictions-wont-always-add-up-231b44f9?utm_campaign=article&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=web …
-
-
the pieces both discuss unknowns, uncertainty and predictions based on missing information/assumptions. Offit talked about the same thing in his discussion with Zdogg yesterday. https://zdoggmd.com/paul-offit-covid/ …
-
Even with the information that Ioannidis wants, there are still too many unknowns to make solid predictions. His main argument is that we should be using this as an opportunity to gather better data, which I disagree with strongly
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Yeah really odd. It’s not going to age well
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.