Have you seen the confidence intervals?? Our estimates of mobility and mortality, transmission and prevalence are so wide we know very little. I don't think we need a perfect sample, but a little more precision is warranted.
Yes, similar. I think it's unlikely that we will be able to implement a testing regime that prioritizes perfect data, so rather it is more important to use the data we do gather with our imperfect system wisely
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No one is arguing either for perfection or for throwing away data... We're being overrun by a legion of straw men!
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Note: this suggests in an Italian town where everyone was tested repeatedly, 50% of positive cases where healthy & asymptomatic. If true & we continue doing what we're doing we will cost *millions* of lives and the pandemic will last a year not 6 months.https://twitter.com/meloncholy/status/1240080200152616967?s=19 …
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There's strong evidence from Italy and Wuhan that 50-80% of cases are mild/asymptomatic. This does indeed have implications for the health service, but random testing is not one of them
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