I'm only going to say this once more, so let me be very clear: HERD IMMUNITY IS NOT NOW, NOR WILL IT EVER BE, A CORONAVIRUS 'PREVENTION' TACTIChttps://twitter.com/coopesdetat/status/1239502176466042880 …
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Yip, that equates to around half a million dead right?
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Depends on your R0 and population, but in the UK it'd likely be somewhere between 400k-800k
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Theoretically, if you could take the healthiest 70% of the population and send them to get infected in an area with high prevalence and wait for recovery before letting them return, would that work?
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Nope. Herd immunity doesn't work that way - you need an even spread, otherwise the pockets of infection need to isolate indefinitely from the rest of society
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How does the rise in cases stop before then? Isn't herd immunity at the end of all of these curves, no matter how flat they are? Australia isn't a closed system and we can't keep a 14 day quarantine on all visits forever. It's going to keep coming back isn't it?
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People talk about this like it's going to last months but I can't see how it's less than a year or two of at least intermittent quarantine measures. Am I wrong?
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I think the core argument is that battle is lost, and we just need to delay in order to prevent secondary deaths from system breakage.
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The Dutch gov has opted for slowing down but not stopping the spread. The msg is “most of us will get it & for the maj it will be mild. We just need to do this slowly.” Can u explain why u say that this might be = losing the battle? (FYI a lot of closures here but no lockdown)
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