One thing I don't think people really understand about #COVID19 and hospitals is that the health system ROUTINELY operates at 85%+ capacity
There really isn't much wiggle room around
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The issue with massive epidemics, as you can see in Italy, is that this little bit of extra room really isn't that much
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Here's an example As per the Australian Institute for Health and Welfare, there were 20,257,957 patient bed-days used in 2018 in Australia In the same year, there were 22,511,375 AVAILABLE bed-days That's 89.99% capacitypic.twitter.com/LePJMIRcfe
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Source for that info is here:https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/hospitals/hospital-resources-2017-18-ahs/contents/hospitals-and-average-available-beds …
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(A bed-day is basically 24 hours of a person being in a hospital bed)
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End of conversation
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Which is why hospitals should be cancelling elective surgery. Many major surgeries require at least 24 hours in ICU. Surely that must be just around the corner.
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