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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

      One thing I don't think people really understand about #COVID19 and hospitals is that the health system ROUTINELY operates at 85%+ capacity There really isn't much wiggle room around

      4 replies 43 retweets 154 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

      Think about it - you don't staff a ward with triple the people you need, you'd go bankrupt overnight Instead, you plan to operate with every day ~nearly~ full, and a bit of extra room just in case

      2 replies 2 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

      What does that look like in practice? Say you have a fairly big ICU - 30 beds In practice, you'd probably plan to have 24-27 of those full EVERY DAY

      6:39 PM - 15 Mar 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 7 Likes
      • Rehab 4 Addiction Adrian Dellinger ethoonnu Alan B. Holloway William Bryce Bergeron, MD BC Wildfire Weekly - Now Covering #COVID19
      1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

          And now coronavirus comes around and you need all 30 beds to treat people with respiratory issues What happens to all your regular patients? Where do they go? You see the problem

          2 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

          The issue with massive epidemics, as you can see in Italy, is that this little bit of extra room really isn't that much

          3 replies 2 retweets 16 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

          Here's an example As per the Australian Institute for Health and Welfare, there were 20,257,957 patient bed-days used in 2018 in Australia In the same year, there were 22,511,375 AVAILABLE bed-days That's 89.99% capacitypic.twitter.com/LePJMIRcfe

          1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
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        5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

          Source for that info is here:https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/hospitals/hospital-resources-2017-18-ahs/contents/hospitals-and-average-available-beds …

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Mar 2020

          (A bed-day is basically 24 hours of a person being in a hospital bed)

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
          Show this thread
        7. End of conversation

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