This is such a key article Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now - Tomas Pueyo - Mediumhttps://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca …
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Please do. Sick of explaining to people who should know better phenomenalogical is not mechanistic & dynamics of infection change
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Am I right in thinking that saying everyone should be copying China / S.Korea is massively premature. They could see a massive uptick yet. If you only get one shot at flattening the curve before people become blase then you're surely better off not doing it too early ?
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New conversation -
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One example - by my very rough calculations, if you change the effective reproduction rate from 2.7 to 2, you'd avoid literally millions of cases by early May
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