This article by a tech guy from Silicon Valley is going pretty viral
While I agree that social distancing is a great idea, I find the models EXTREMELY suspect and almost certainly wrong #COVID19 #coronavirushttps://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca …
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Replying to @GidMK
We came to a similar conclusion, but there is a lot of interesting material here. We are running our own SIR models for spread, hospital admission, ICU admission, and deaths. The math gets complex, but we are calibrating to multiple countries to give us a range of outcomes.
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Replying to @Larry_Svenson @GidMK
I've been looking for any SIR model results for the US and haven't been able to find anything. Are your results going to be released soon?
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Replying to @SafAriInTheCity @GidMK
The group I’m working with just had a paper accepted titled “Why Is It Difficult to Accurately Predict the COVID-19 Epidemic”. I’ll try to remember to tweet the link once it’s available.
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Please do!
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