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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      FACT 3: The TRUE case-fatality rate is likely to be between 0.3-1% (this is still high!) This is an estimate from the journal Lancet in the UK, and is echoed by a number of other publicationspic.twitter.com/GjlnmUaXFl

      5 replies 13 retweets 79 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      FACT 4: THE GROWTH OF #COVID19 IS NOT EXPONENTIAL

      2 replies 14 retweets 78 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      Outbreaks of infectious disease usually start with an exponential growth curve but then flatten off In the case of #COVID2019, you can see the actual vs predicted numbers based on exponential growth in these graphspic.twitter.com/Av5XYtqLSM

      5 replies 17 retweets 78 likes
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    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      This is in large part due to public health measures, which is why you should LISTEN TO YOUR LOCAL HEALTH AUTHORITY Keep an eye on the news Be prepared to take action

      1 reply 17 retweets 104 likes
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    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      FACT 5: Children are not severely impacted by the disease Very few children have died, and mostly kids experience only very mild symptomspic.twitter.com/mHVCag9phI

      6 replies 14 retweets 76 likes
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    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      The biggest issue with children is that they do get infected, so there are worries that they will transmit the disease to others and spread it further

      1 reply 14 retweets 75 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      This makes sense to anyone who knows a child, given that they are basically walking petri dishes that will happily sneeze into your open mouth

      8 replies 21 retweets 214 likes
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    8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      FACT 6: Household spread appears to be relatively limited, with somewhere between 5-20% of households having a subsequent infection Having a sick relative doesn't appear currently to be a doom sentence

      3 replies 8 retweets 67 likes
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    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      More specifically, the WHO estimates that between 3-10% of all household contacts (i.e. people living with a sick person) get sick, which is not as scary a message as you might've heardpic.twitter.com/Q9rNohuipR

      2 replies 13 retweets 63 likes
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    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MontyMilt

      It probably doesn't. Contained populations are very different, cruise ships in particular. This was from people in households in China primarily

      8:32 PM - 8 Mar 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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