Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

Tweets

Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted Alison Buttenheim

      The first rule of epi club: ALWAYS ASK ABOUT THE DENOMINATOR The second rule of epi club: ALWAYS ASK ABOUT THE DENOMINATOR The third rule of epi club: POST CUTE PET PICS #epitwitter #coronavirushttps://twitter.com/abuttenheim/status/1236414772247232512 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Alison Buttenheim @abuttenheim
      Me, in every Epi class I've taught: PAY ATTENTION TO THE DENOMINATOR, FOLKS! Students: Me: IT'S ALL ABOUT THE DENOMINATOR! Students: Me: ASK YOURSELF WHO'S IN THE DENOMINATOR!! Internet: How is it possible that we don't know the #COVID19 case fatality ratio? Me:
      6 replies 16 retweets 102 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dr Vyom Sharma (ethnic mum)‏ @drvyom 8 Mar 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      I loved the US official last week saying most CFR figures are wrong and it’s actually Like 0.1% (No source, even though plausible) And then instantly follows with ‘yeah this is a denominator issue’ Yeah - so stop making up numbers!!!

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020
      Replying to @drvyom

      I've actually had this discussion a few times now - the case fatality ratio, i.e. current proportion of deaths/cases, is ~3% worldwide. The TRUE case fatality rate won't be known for a while, but is probably 0.5-1% based on best estimates

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    4. Rebecca‏ @aspiesuperwoman 8 Mar 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @drvyom

      This is assuming hospitals don’t get overwhelmed though, right? What underlying assumptions about the level patient care are made when defining the epidemiological “death rate” or do you just say here (without hosp. overwhelm) the death rate is x & there (with overwhelm) it is y?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Dr Vyom Sharma (ethnic mum)‏ @drvyom 8 Mar 2020
      Replying to @aspiesuperwoman @GidMK

      I'm pretty sure @GidMK is making and highly aware of that assumption - it is worth talking about CFR of #COVID specifically before we start quantifying it's broader implications (which you're correct in alluding to - hospital bed/ICU bed occupancy rate/time)

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020
      Replying to @drvyom

      Part of the issue with CFR is that it is fluid. Some areas will have lower CFR as the health system deals effectively with the issue, some will be higher if they are overwhelmed

      2:49 PM - 8 Mar 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr Vyom Sharma (ethnic mum)‏ @drvyom 8 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Also some places have better health facilities, younger populations, More meaningful epidemiological data which all affect CFR etc (This is all obv af to Gid, more just for sake of completion for others reading this thread)

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Mar 2020
          Replying to @drvyom

          I would say that most current figures are likely to be an overestimate of CFR - by all indications there's a large pool of asymptomatic/mild cases that aren't confirmed, which pushes the CFR up significantly

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info