The first rule of epi club: ALWAYS ASK ABOUT THE DENOMINATOR
The second rule of epi club: ALWAYS ASK ABOUT THE DENOMINATOR
The third rule of epi club: POST CUTE PET PICS #epitwitter #coronavirushttps://twitter.com/abuttenheim/status/1236414772247232512 …
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Replying to @GidMK
I loved the US official last week saying most CFR figures are wrong and it’s actually Like 0.1% (No source, even though plausible) And then instantly follows with ‘yeah this is a denominator issue’ Yeah - so stop making up numbers!!!
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Replying to @drvyom
I've actually had this discussion a few times now - the case fatality ratio, i.e. current proportion of deaths/cases, is ~3% worldwide. The TRUE case fatality rate won't be known for a while, but is probably 0.5-1% based on best estimates
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("best estimates" here means the Lancet and Medrxiv papers and is based on modelling from Wuhan and SK)
1:29 PM - 8 Mar 2020
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