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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      He killed six people, and dissolved their bodies in acid before forging documents to access their funds. He missed the gallstones. I saw pictures of them in a book. There was something quite ... stark about them. I still remember the photo.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Haigh#%22Acid_Bath%22_murders …

      2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
      Show this thread
    2. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      But even the article in the Mirror: what determines the full list of 'serial killers'? There isn't a methodology, it's just a series of names chosen for convenience. A serious investigation would need a definitive method of approaching the question: "construct a list...

      1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
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    3. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      of alllllllllllll the serial killers, ever". There is no such list, of course. Do war crimes count? What countries? What timeframe? How can we be sure we found all the non-English-speaking murderers? etc.

      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
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    4. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      The third is mathematical. Obviously, the article says 'majority' and then lists 8 killers out of a list of 35. Not a majority. But let's *assume both the above are true* and approach the question 'are there significantly more Taurus serial killers than chance'?

      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
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    5. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      We can model this easily. Let's take 35 people and split them entirely at random into 12 'zodiac bins' 1000 times. What's a typical figure for the highest value? Remember, we want to know if 8 is unusually high.

      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
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    6. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      We don't need to do any statistics here - you can see 8 is a very typical highest value for our randomly distributed killers, slightly higher than the mode but quite close to the center of the distribution.pic.twitter.com/WJ0UGMP8Ko

      2 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
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    7. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      We see all of the above in science all the time: (1) Absent, partial, or weak theory. (2) Incomplete or untrustworthy methodology or procedures. (3) Incorrect or unjustifiable calculations. Tolerance / likelihood of each changes markedly between fields!

      1 reply 2 retweets 27 likes
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    8. James Heathers‏ @jamesheathers 9 Feb 2020

      And scientists think differently, due to their work, their field, and their personal idiosyncrasies. My boi @GidMK, who yells at alt-med cretins on the internet all day, would probably first think "astrology is silly". But, when I clicked this idly before, my first thought was...

      2 replies 0 retweets 16 likes
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    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 9 Feb 2020
      Replying to @jamesheathers

      ❤❤❤ My bet is that this is paid media attention for a security company or something. Smells like that flavor of nonsense

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Feb 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @jamesheathers

      Dang, I was off Book promo. Close, thopic.twitter.com/ZDOJnutyBm

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Feb 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @jamesheathers

      @MrMMarsh used to do a lot of great stuff looking at the whole "advertising posing as science" thing, it's a truly absurd field of hilarious nonsense

      1:33 AM - 10 Feb 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Captain Science PhD Kausik
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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