In case you missed it - my piece on the coronavirus, and why reasonable caution is both the best and most realistic way to gohttps://medium.com/@gidmk/the-novel-coronavirus-is-terrifying-153a4fd208f0 …
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Interesting analysis. It seems as if there are two competing dynamics in this outbreak, Hubei and the rest of China:https://twitter.com/YanzhongHuang/status/1223810018035818496?s=20 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Where did you learn to fit curves? That's semi tragic. Epidemics (as opposed to pandemics)generally have a sort of gaussian or lorentzian curve. Which that has if you squint. So it looks like it has almost burnt itself out there. Just gets tricky if it hits a Virgin group
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Made the graph in excel. The curve is based on an exponential function that I modeled in stata. Not a real epidemic function by any means
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