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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 Jan 2020

      HUGE NEWS: "10 years after vaccination was introduced, we detected no HPV16/18 infections in 16-18 yearolds (0% of n=584)" HPV 16/18 cause ~70% of cervical cancer That's an ~amazing~ result https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/858872/hpr0220_HPV_2018.pdf …pic.twitter.com/zsYtqdGECp

      46 replies 1,440 retweets 3,362 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Fergus Guppy‏ @fergusguppy 27 Jan 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      How can there be any variance on a 0% prevalence? There is an error bar on that figure...

      1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 Jan 2020
      Replying to @fergusguppy

      Because it's a population estimate from sample data. Essentially, the error bars tell you the values you'd expect to see if you re-ran this study a large number of times with different samples drawn from the same population

      2:14 PM - 27 Jan 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 19 Likes
      • Lars Henning Dra. Alabastro ScrumpyBetty Anthony Wilson Christina Cheryl Ricer OD, MS🇺🇸💙☮️♻️🏐🌎 Trix Nina Milanov Liz "The Mask Goes Over Your Nose AND Mouth" Ditz
      1 reply 2 retweets 19 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Fergus Guppy‏ @fergusguppy 27 Jan 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          So although their were 0% of cases in the sample they would still expect a small number at a population level. What sort of number would be a reasonable estimate? 1/1,10,100 thousand?

          1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 Jan 2020
          Replying to @fergusguppy

          Based on the confidence interval, looks like somewhere between 1/100 and 1/10000

          1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies

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