Lol if you want some references that I imagine you'll refuse to read: https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/52/7/911/299077 … http://op12no2.me/stuff/herdhis.pdf … https://academic.oup.com/ije/article/23/6/1300/660409 …https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rspb.2006.3636 …
All of the assumptions have been tested, I'm sorry to say that you're just wrong here 
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You're just contradicting me without providing any actual arguments here. Very boring. "There are too many variables" - which ones? How do they impact the maths?
End of conversation
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