This is very silly: RELATIVE RISK INCREASE: One fifth, or ~20% ABSOLUTE RISK INCREASE: ~0.1%https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1118310875637665792 …
-
Show this thread
-
Can't find the study, which is remarkable considering how widely it's already being reported, but even from a casual inspection it looks like the BACON IS COMING TO GET YOU headlines are probably misleadingpic.twitter.com/ISYSY2nxFl
4 replies 1 retweet 11 likesShow this thread -
2,609 cancers in 500,000 people doesn't give you much confidence in a 20% increased risk, sadlypic.twitter.com/KQbxoUhRCE
1 reply 1 retweet 4 likesShow this thread -
Also, this was done using the UK Biobank study - which is a cohort of 95% white people - so if you're not the average UK citizen it might not apply to you anyway
1 reply 0 retweets 5 likesShow this thread -
But even if you're in the UK, eating a bunch of bacon a day is only going to raise your risk of bowel cancer by 0.1%, so it's not nearly as scary as some of the headlines imply
2 replies 4 retweets 8 likesShow this thread -
It's the sort of thing that's very meaningful to population researchers, but not to individuals Think about it - ~70 million people in the UK If 5 million of them eat an extra rasher of bacon a day that's 5,000 cancers, which is a lot
2 replies 0 retweets 3 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @GidMK
How does that compare with other risk factors? I'm pretty sure exercise is inversely correlated with colon cancer risk? And veg consumption?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @_captainscience @GidMK
As in, what if a person eats an extra rather of bacon a day, but takes sensible regular exercise and eats their n≥5 f&v?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @_captainscience
I think that's addressed in the study - there've been some oblique references to it - but I can't find the paper itself so not entirely sure. I'd guess the risk reduces, but it's just my hypothesis
2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @GidMK @_captainscience
Here’s a link to the funding organization’s announcement of the paper. Link there doesn’t yet work, but looks like it will: https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/about-us/cancer-news/press-release/2019-04-17-even-moderate-red-and-processed-meat-eaters-at-risk-of-bowel-cancer …
3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
Splendid thank you!
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.