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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

      Health Nerd Retweeted Nancy Barto

      This is a common claim by anti-vaccine advocates, but it's worth unpicking the actual risks and rewards behind vaccination #vaccineswork 1/https://twitter.com/NancyBarto/status/1100175588688519169 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Nancy Barto @NancyBarto
      We’re not done yet! Where there’s a risk, there must be choice. One size does not fit all for any pharmaceutical, including vaccines. https://twitter.com/randigerber/status/1099922618361118722 …
      1 reply 16 retweets 27 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

      Do vaccinations carry risks? Yes, absolutely. No medical intervention is entirely without risk So what does that risk look like? 2/

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

      Let's look at the MMR vaccine, because it is one of the most hotly-debated and also well-researched vaccines out there 3/pic.twitter.com/4kT4XBcBFG

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

      If we look at the gold standard of evidence for MMR - a large Cochrane systematic review - we can see identified risks: - increased risk of febrile seizures immediately post-vaccine - possible increased risk of febrile convulsions 4/pic.twitter.com/FhJMa5bOtX

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

      Review is here if you'd like to read: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22336803  Another review here as well: https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/134/2/325 … 4.5/

      7:24 PM - 26 Feb 2019
      • 4 Likes
      • transplantrockstar Take That, Medicine! R.S. Lake kyla #ThisIsOurShot #VaccinesSaveLives
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          We can ALSO see the things that so far have never been shown to be associated with MMR vaccination: - autism - asthma - leukaemia - have fever - diabetes - gait disturbance - Crohn's - demyelinating diseases - other bacterial/viral infections 5/pic.twitter.com/dKcVjfcYbG

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          Added to this, we can see the BENEFITS of the MMR vaccine: - >95% effective in preventing measles - >95% effective in preventing rubella - >80%% effective in preventing mumps 6/pic.twitter.com/AMeq3AzLk4

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          So now we have to weigh up the risks vs the benefits This is where the "risk/choice" argument comes in 7/

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          The risks associated with the vaccine may sound scary, but they are actually incredibly small. For every million kids vaccinated we'll see about: 1,000 febrile seizures 50 hospitalizations 0 deaths 8/

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          On the other hand, measles, mumps, and rubella are really infectious disease. They also have serious harms 9/pic.twitter.com/WLohPNTyns

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          For every million kids who get measles, we expect to see: 250,000 hospitalized 1,000 cases of encephalitis 1-2,000 deaths 10/

          1 reply 1 retweet 10 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          Mumps and rubella aren't nearly as nasty as measles, but in a million cases we'd expect to still see dozens of deaths, hundreds of lifelong disabilities, and thousands of hospitalizations 11/

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          This is where we weigh the risk and benefit of vaccination. In an unvaccinated population, pretty much every child will get measles. Most of them will get mumps and rubella as well 12/pic.twitter.com/VyetWVG2hg

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          So the risk from the MMR vaccine for serious issues requiring hospitalization is about 50/1,000,000 = 0.005% The risk of serious issues just from measeles is about 250,000/1,000,000 = 25% 13/

          1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          In other words, a child is ~5,000 times more likely to go to hospital because of measles than the MMR vaccine 14/

          1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
          Show this thread
        12. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          This isn't even including mumps and rubella! They are nasty diseases that also land plenty of kids in hospitals 15/

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
          Show this thread
        13. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          What does this mean about "choice"? Well, there are obviously risks to vaccinating. But these are FAR outweighed by the risks of NOT vaccinating 16/

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          It's a bit like saying we shouldn't give seatbelts to children because they cause chafing The language of "choice" and "risks" in context simply doesn't make sense 17/

          2 replies 2 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          We vaccinate because it is the best option, far better than letting children - and adults! - suffer and die #VaccinesWork 18/end

          2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        16. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Feb 2019

          P.S. current best evidence strongly indicates that MMR vaccination is not associated with autism or any of the other conditions above. This has been shown time and again

          1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
          Show this thread
        17. End of conversation

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