It's important to remember that this rate of death was over 2 years. So we halve that for the yearly rate: 0.2/2 = 0.1% 3.5/
-
Show this thread
-
(Note: This isn't the best statistic, but because we don't have the age breakdown of debt recipients we can't get the exact rate of death for 45 and below) 4/
1 reply 1 retweet 5 likesShow this thread -
If we look at the last 10 years (2008-2018), we see that the average number of deaths in Australia in this age group was 6,607 The population >15 years was ~19.5 million 5/
1 reply 1 retweet 4 likesShow this thread -
Plugging those numbers in we get 6607/19500000 = 0.0007 = 0.07% So the VERY CRUDE rate of death in the sample of robodebt recipients was about 0.1/0.07 = 40% higher than the national average 6/
2 replies 6 retweets 7 likesShow this thread -
(This is what's known as a relative risk, which means the risk of one thing happening compared to another) 6.5/
1 reply 1 retweet 5 likesShow this thread -
What does this mean? Well, not that much. As I said, this is very crude. We know that the debt notices were probably sent to less healthy than average people (some of them were disability recipients, for example) 7/
2 replies 1 retweet 4 likesShow this thread -
So the fact that the relative risk of death was about 40% higher in the robodebt recipients may not mean anything at all (although it's worth noting that we HAVE - mostly - controlled for age by definition here) 8/
1 reply 1 retweet 6 likesShow this thread -
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
Replying to @jpwarren
That statement confuses me. It's not an academic exercise. There's a factual claim about whether the debt notices caused deaths - based on my very rough figures, I doubt that this is the case. Even if it is the case, it's probably a much smaller number
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
I never said I supported the policy - for the record, I don't, but that doesn't make the claims about robodebt deaths any more true
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.