So, everyone has been talking about this 776 figure and how bad it is
I wanted to figure out some point of reference as to how bad it might actually be #notmydebt #Robodebt 1/https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1097059649075978241 …
-
-
Ultimately, you'd need to do a much more robust analysis to get a particularly strong answer What we CAN say is that ROBODEBT DEFINITELY DIDN'T CAUSE 776 DEATHS
#notmydebt#robodebt 9/Show this thread -
People who received debt notices *may* be at a higher risk of death than the general population - it's hard to be sure - but the debt notices definitely didn't kill people en masse End 10/
Show this thread -
Worth noting - because it's my eternal bug-bear - that the ABSOLUTE risk of death appears to have been increased by 0.03% by debt notices, which is somewhat less impressive and scary as well
Show this thread -
CORRECTION TO THIS THREAD - I actually miscalculated the relative and absolute risk - I halved the estimate twice accidentally This is why peer review is important thank you
@AndrewHayenShow this thread -
The true relative risk is 3, or a 300% increased risk of death, and the absolute risk should be 0.07 or an 0.07% increased risk of death
@not_my_debtShow this thread -
But still probably worth remembering that this is not very meaningful and we'd have to at the very minimum compare to other Centrelink recipients - not the general population like I did - to get a decent estimate
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
- Show replies
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.