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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Josiah Zayner‏ @4LOVofScience 7 Feb 2019

      What is the probability my child is hurt from measles vs hurt from the measles vaccine?

      10 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @4LOVofScience

      @GidMK had a very nice and succinct tweet outlining the very low risks of various vaccines (of course I can’t find it!)

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @auscandoc @4LOVofScience

      I can't find that one either but for the MMR the risk of a serious adverse event - hospitalization etc - is roughly 1/1,000,000 Measles has a hospitalization rate of 2/1,000, or about 200x higher than the vaccine

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Josiah Zayner‏ @4LOVofScience 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @GidMK @auscandoc

      That is if you get measles. Your chances of getting measles(in 2017 there were ~120 cases) is about 1 in 2 million. So your chances of having an adverse measles reaction is 1 in 1 billion? About 1000 times less than the vaccine.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @4LOVofScience @auscandoc

      That is very dependent on the vaccination rate of where you live. Once it drops below 92%, the risk of getting measles rises exponentially. At ~70% vaccination most unvaccinated kids start getting the disease

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @GidMK @4LOVofScience @auscandoc

      That's the paradox of vaccination - the better you get at getting people vaccinated, the less each individual needs to be vaccinated. But if enough people opt-out, vaccines become enormously valuable

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    7. Josiah Zayner‏ @4LOVofScience 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @GidMK @auscandoc

      Totally.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @4LOVofScience @auscandoc

      Worth noting that this threshold is very low from a societal point of view - as an individual, it may not always make sense to get vaccinated at 95%+, but as a society keeping most people vaccinated is a massive cost-saver/life-saver

      12:44 PM - 7 Feb 2019
      • 1 Like
      • Josiah Zayner
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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