Potentially stupid question - how can we really say that a poll predicting an election is wrong or right? If it assigns a chance, and there's only one trial (the election),isn't it almost impossible to test the probabilities offered by polling data?
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Replying to @KetanJ0
The biggest problem is that almost all reporting on polls ignores the margin or error and the confidence interval
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Replying to @MarkusMannheim
Every news story that frames movements within the margin of error as earth-shattering revelation is nails down the chalkboard for stats nerds
1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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