When you split this up into societal vs indivudual harm, a good 33% of that 95% is harm TO SOCIETYpic.twitter.com/N4QZGIlsc1
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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When you split this up into societal vs indivudual harm, a good 33% of that 95% is harm TO SOCIETYpic.twitter.com/N4QZGIlsc1
So, BY THE STUDY THAT THE FIGURE IS BASED ON, we are now down to "vaping is likely 60% safer than smoking cigarettes" But wait, there's more
If you look here, you'll notice that smoking cigarettes is the most harmful, but other forms of tobacco are MUCH lower This is because of the various fields that the group includedpic.twitter.com/Wzqe7WtIaY
So, again FROM THE STUDY THE 95% FIGURE CAME FROM, it's also possible to say that cigars are 85% safer than cigarettes. That chewing tobacco is 90% safer. That smoking a pipe is still 80% safer! This is ~clearly nonsense~
True. Exactly the sort of nuanced, technical public health difference that makes saying "cigars are [x]% safer than cigarettes" so very misleading, wouldn't you say?
(I was using the difficulty in drawing a definitive percentage difference between cigarettes and cigars as an analogy for the same issues between vaping and cigarettes)
And then what happens if the risk reduction turns out to be more modest? What if it's 50% reduction in risk of lung cancer...still extremely notable, but 10x higher than the figure that's been promoted everywhere
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