Fun fact: the 95% figure, cited EVERYWHERE, is essentially expert opinion If you look back at the hierarchy of evidence, that's right on the bottom
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What actually happened is that in 2014 a group of experts (and health consultants, oddly) got together over 2 days, and scored different nicotine products in terms of harmspic.twitter.com/BDCaImK4l0
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A year later, Public Health England affirmed in their report on vaping that there was no evidence to contradict this figure, and started using it broadly
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And remember, this figure is broadly interpreted as vaping being 95% safer FOR USERS. FOR YOU. Which is, sadly, complete nonsense
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Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd
You see, this is a trick question. What the group of experts actually considered was all of this and morehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1006322730852061185 …
Health Nerd added,
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They thought about crime, about death, about impairments to life, about cost, societal damage, environmental issues and morepic.twitter.com/Y9O1NqR8Uy
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When you split this up into societal vs indivudual harm, a good 33% of that 95% is harm TO SOCIETYpic.twitter.com/N4QZGIlsc1
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So, BY THE STUDY THAT THE FIGURE IS BASED ON, we are now down to "vaping is likely 60% safer than smoking cigarettes" But wait, there's more
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If you look here, you'll notice that smoking cigarettes is the most harmful, but other forms of tobacco are MUCH lower This is because of the various fields that the group includedpic.twitter.com/Wzqe7WtIaY
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Replying to @GidMK
That is not the origin of the carefully phrased statements used by PHE and RCP.
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It is directly referenced as the source of the claim. I've been arguing about this all day, so very tedious
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Replying to @GidMK @Clive_Bates
In fact, PHE now describes the 95% figure as a "communication tool" rather than a solid risk estimate
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