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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Amelia Howard‏ @Amelia_RH 11 Jun 2018

      Amelia Howard Retweeted Health Nerd

      "According to PHE" is how I normally see it (correctly) put. Still, citizens often confuse positions of orgs/gov/experts with "what Science says." How health bloggers draw boundaries between cases of the error that warrant smug tweetorials & cases that don't is always fascinatinghttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1006320473867718656 …

      Amelia Howard added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Whenever you talk about vaping, you see people quoting a figure: 95%. According to SCIENCE, vaping is 95% better for you than smoking Here's a brief tweetorial on why that's wrong pic.twitter.com/j1RJPDLEZD
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Jun 2018
      Replying to @Amelia_RH

      Even "according to PHE" is incorrect if that person is arguing it as an individual benefit, which is virtually always the framing. Very few people tell smokers to quit because of the benefits to, say, crime

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Amelia Howard‏ @Amelia_RH 11 Jun 2018
      Replying to @GidMK

      Public Health England - upon commissioning an independent systematic review of evidence that applied to questions of e-cigarettes and risk (was not a check of the Nutt paper)- used the 95 % as a quant estimate of risk. When lay people cite it - that is what they are referring to.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Jun 2018
      Replying to @Amelia_RH

      More specifically, they affirmed the Nutt estimate as the current best guess, given that there is little evidence to contradict it. Which means that their estimate is still largely based on the 95% figure

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Jun 2018
      Replying to @GidMK @Amelia_RH

      Fascinatingly, nowhere does anyone mention that the figure for benefit to the individual from the Nutt paper was actually 60%, not 95%. Given that PHE cite this directly as their source for the estimate, perhaps we should all be using the 60% figure instead?

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Kent‏ @K_d_a7 11 Jun 2018
      Replying to @GidMK @Amelia_RH

      Why, when harm was measured with all the factors.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Jun 2018
      Replying to @K_d_a7 @Amelia_RH

      Because the average person doesn't care whether (for example) prisoners trade cigarettes when they make their decision to quit. They incorrectly assume that the 95% figure applies to disease/death, not broad societal good

      9:21 PM - 11 Jun 2018
      • 1 Like
      • raintree Ⓥ
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Kent‏ @K_d_a7 11 Jun 2018
          Replying to @GidMK @Amelia_RH

          That’s why it’s important to honestly explain the risk, opposes to everything is bad for you.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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