Possible wildcards to consider for the upcoming meeting in #Hanoi: 1) Is #KimJongUn using his father and grandfather's playbook? Or does he have his own? and 2) Is the President in touch with his bureaucratic process, or do we have a vertical disconnect? - Scott Snyder @CFR_org
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The majority of South Koreans believe that the U.S presence in
#NorthKorea is not an obstacle to a peace process." This is important context for what happens over the next few days in@Hanoi, says Scott Snyder@CFR_orgShow this thread -
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@SueMiTerry on what to expect in#Hanoi: "I think there will be an interim deal." "#NorthKorea will agree to a continued halt and perhaps agree to put a cap on nuclear stockpile."Show this thread -
"I don't think
#NorthKorea will agree to a full declaration of their nuclear missile program," says@SueMiTerry.Show this thread -
Thought
@SueMiTerry is recently less concerned that Trump will officially put withdrawing U.S troops on the table, she does think it's possible that he will end up mentioning it in#Hanoi. Removing US troops from SK before NK denuclearizes would be total mistake, she adds.Show this thread -
"If you read the tea leaves, you can see that ever since July both the positions of both sides have started to evolve. To me, that's a good sign." - Joel S. Wit of
@38NorthNK#NorthKorea#HanoiShow this thread -
"There are a lot of people who want this summit in
#Hanoi to be make or break. I don't think that makes sense at all." "I'm very comfortable with continuing this process." - Joel S. Wit of@38NorthNK#NorthKoreaShow this thread -
Joel S. Wit says he believe
#KimJongUn would discourage President Trump from withdrawing troops from South Korea. "We forget what's happening with geopolitics in Asia." "They want troops to stay on as a stability force."#NorthKorea#HanoiSummitShow this thread -
"The peace declaration will trigger the process of conventional force reduction talks." Joel S. Wit
#NorthKorea#HanoiSummit speaking at@NatSecLaw symposium.Show this thread
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