@chrisdc77 did you get a chance to see this? http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/books/2013/01/what-nate-silver-gets-wrong.html … would be interested in your take.
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@GaryMarcus "great quote, but ... "I think it means that we don't apply the .05 probability level to all findings. At least I don't.
@JohnKubie also means eg we ought to insist on replication, and making sure that novel findings are consistent with broader literature
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@GaryMarcus Perhaps Bayes and Fischer not equivalent. exceeding a confidence level <> likelihood of truth. ?apples and oranges?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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