@garymarcus I read your key argument as being: "Silver’s one misstep comes in his advocacy of an approach known as Bayesian inference."
@justinwolfers Bayesian inference is fine; overselling it as "think differently" revolution/misrepresenting debate not. @leonidkruglyak
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@GaryMarcus@leonidkruglyak Surely it depends on the application. In many fields using Bayesian logic is a "think differently" revolution.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@GaryMarcus@leonidkruglyak The most obvious eg is, if course, polling. It's stunning how few (other than Gelman) use Shrinkage estimators.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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