Yes! Totally agree w @mpshanahan: capturing the common sense of 18 month olds a la Spelke's core knowledge would be a huge advance towards AGI.https://twitter.com/mpshanahan/status/1200794336297914368 …
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Does it matter that we only have a retrospective theory of 18mo inference? What if there's less "sense" than we think; e.g. all statistics learning and physiology priors, and the "common" just falls out of a restricted state space? Would that still be a good enough AI aspiration?
my strong intuition is that that will never ever work. we have had a massive multi-billion $ test of that perspective over the last decade with more compute than was available ever before and it really has not led to machines that can understand even basic sequences of events.
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I find it interesting to think what in human intelligence will remain an inspiration for AI if we become more and more certain that that's what young humans do.
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