2016: @GeoffreyHinton says we should stop training radiologists, because radiologists will soon be replaced by deep learning
2019: There is a shortage of radiologists. # replaced ≈ 0
What did Hinton miss?
by @garymarcus & @MaxALittlehttps://www.statnews.com/2019/10/23/advancing-ai-health-care-trust/ …
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Seriously? Hinton said we should stop training radiologists now because with advances in AI by the time all current radiologists retired we would not need anymore. Not that radiologists would disappear in 3 years. You might not agree with him, but he isn’t a fool.
actually this how i read that, but maybe you can show the part of the text where he invokes “the time all current radiologists retired” and how that relates to the 5-10 year figure?
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and how that relates to the coyotes who don’t know they have fallen off the cliff?
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The point is that you are interpreting the quote and so am I. Neither of our interpretations was spoken by him. I admit that. You should, too.
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there are many articles that were published at the time that interpreted the quote as
@MaxALittle and I have; can you find any that interpreted it as you did?@DrHughHarvey@DrLukeOR@AMPimaging@IvanKlyuzhin follow the radiology field more closely & might have thoughts - 6 more replies
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But he didn’t say to stop hiring radiologists — a good strategy if AI will take over their jobs in 3-5 years. He said to stop training them — a strategy for the longer term.
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