Think it’s a mistake to think in a zero-sum way like this. There are income as well as substitution effects. DeepMind’s success in reinforcement learning lends cause to more investment in adjacent fields...(and has already done so).
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That's because OpenAI's charter was to make sure they weren't someone not invited to the party. Musk and others put $1B into OpenAI so they wouldn't be left out of the Deep Learning explosion.
it’s also a billion $ + refutation if your assertion, given that they are free to spend the $ more or less as they choose
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They spent it in areas where they felt the most promise at the time. That just so happens to be Deep Reinforcement Learning.
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