I’m under the impression that google at least has already achieved superhuman safety in terms of accidents per mile. Is that off base?
If driverless cars fail to become safer than humans, many investors will walk, and corporate investment will also almost surely diminish. Low-hanging fruit will occupy the next few years, but after that patience could diminish.https://twitter.com/alex_yoder/status/1003318097791586307 …
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maybe in good weather with few pedestrians? not in mahanttan on a rainy day
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Cars are a huge market. But as prices go down, industrial robots have potential to become truly ubiquitous -- 𝒊𝒇 they can be made smarter and easier to use.
@RethinkRobotics,@Universal_Robot barely scratch the surface of what's possible. (img src: https://ark-invest.com/research/industrial-robot-costs …)pic.twitter.com/6UR5OnqwKJ
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absolutely, though we may need real advances in AI to really grow that market
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"If we fail to make progress..." This, on the other hand, is actual pessimism.
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They will likely have to be significantly safer than humans, and with similar error modes, to be accepted. Priors are against them, as are cognitive biases. If the error modes are hard for humans to understand, they will seem less safe, even if they are statistically more so.
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