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Largely, I think the idea of AI winters is BS. Grossly overstates the ability of funding bodies (VCs, academic, etc) to dictate the direction of technology. Take, e.g., the 1998 dotcom bubble & crash. *Actual* tech plugged along at likely same pace as it would anyway @GaryMarcus?pic.twitter.com/yw4E8dEd40
That's a lame answer! 1. You know I'm familiar with the history! 2. History doesn't contain counterfactuals! 3. It's quite hard to point to a decade that was unproductive - just to decades where funding waned or focus roved around (productively, e.g. kernels).
Don't get me wrong. I benefit from the funding. And from the public interest. And I might be a bit sad if 90% of it dissipated tomorrow. But would that really make any difference in the flow of technological development?! That's my Q
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