I see. You take issue with the unknowns. We have to rely on known knowns and known unknowns. There’s always going to be that but I think the conclusion still fits.
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Replying to @Claire_Voltaire
If they'd said "US govts are more likely to intervene on HR pretexts than security ones", I wouldn't have had a problem. As it is, it makes too many assumptions based on incomplete data, applies quantitative measures to qualitative factors, and draws causation from correlation.
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Replying to @G_S_Bhogal
It's a pretty respectable journal and is peer reviewed so I doubt they would publish a piece that's riddled with issues. But if you see it that way, I guess it would be up to you to point out the inconsistencies and perhaps shine a light on it.
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Replying to @Claire_Voltaire
Bad papers get published all the time. As for the inconsistencies, I feel I've already pointed them out: the article's authors can't claim that HR is the only constant in govt intentions when they are not privy to those intentions.
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Replying to @G_S_Bhogal
I just replied on the above. I do agree that ascribing intentions is a vague territory but accepting that an HR is a constant remains reality.
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Replying to @Claire_Voltaire
This is precisely my issue. I'm fine with them saying that the stated aims of most interventions are HR, but not that they are the actual aims. This debate is similar to the Chomsky-Harris one. I normally prefer Harris, but on this one I side with Chomsky. https://samharris.org/the-limits-of-discourse/ …
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Replying to @G_S_Bhogal @Claire_Voltaire
To illustrate with an example, the correlation between HR abuses and US govt intervention might not be because the US govt cares about HR; it might be because the US govt sees HR violations as an excuse to invade and further US foreign policy.
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Replying to @Claire_Voltaire
Many ways, seizing another country's resources, making another country dependent on US business/aid, creating military alliances, rolling back the influence of hostile powers, etc.
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Replying to @G_S_Bhogal
We did it to Germany, Japan, the soviet etc. Reality remains that it isn’t always a bad thing.
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I have no disagreement with that.
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