A 2016 study published in the Journal of Conflict Resolution analyzing US military interventions in the period 1981–2005 found that the US "is likely to engage in military campaigns for humanitarian reasons that focus on human rights protection 1/2
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I see. You take issue with the unknowns. We have to rely on known knowns and known unknowns. There’s always going to be that but I think the conclusion still fits.
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If they'd said "US govts are more likely to intervene on HR pretexts than security ones", I wouldn't have had a problem. As it is, it makes too many assumptions based on incomplete data, applies quantitative measures to qualitative factors, and draws causation from correlation.
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