Pinker's point ignores 3 things: - Jihadism is fat-tailed. A disease that only kills 6 Americans a year is not. - Jihadism only kills 6 Americans a year *because* the govt pays so much to stop it. - The threat of jihad increases with time due to proliferation of ideology & tech.https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/953100283764191232 …
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Replying to @G_S_Bhogal @IonaItalia
Pinker argues in Better Angels that all terrorism fails over time because it needs to become more and more bloodthirsty to keep terrorising people, which in turn undermines support for their cause. Hopefully he is right.
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Replying to @ZakariyaAlRazi @IonaItalia
That's not borne out by statistics, though:https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-attacks/number-of-fatal-terrorist-attacks-in-western-europe-increasing-data-show-idUSKBN19X1QO …
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Replying to @G_S_Bhogal @IonaItalia
In the book he supports the argument useing data from across the world and going back several decades. I found it quite convincing, but it is the sort of data that a single nuke in a shipping container in NY harbour would completely overturn!
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
Yeah, this is the fat-tail that Pinker ignores. It only takes a single lunatic with a nuke to completely skew terror stats.
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