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G_S_Bhogal's profile
Gurindoor
Gurindoor
Gurindoor
@G_S_Bhogal

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Gurindoor

@G_S_Bhogal

Connoisseur of antidepressants. Words about psychology, philosophy, politics.

Joined November 2014

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    Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Mar 12
    • Report Tweet
    • Report NetzDG Violation

    Gurindoor Retweeted Yaroslav Trofimov

    Focusing on COVID-19’s case fatality rate severely underestimates its deadliness, because once hospitals reach full capacity most of the virus’s victims are dying not of the virus but of everything else.https://twitter.com/yarotrof/status/1238152341041238016 …

    Gurindoor added,

    Yaroslav TrofimovVerified account @yarotrof
    Lombardy case fatality rate remains stable at 8.5%, with 744 deaths. https://twitter.com/yarotrof/status/1238151408924295168 …
    11:26 AM - 12 Mar 2020
    • 62 Retweets
    • 150 Likes
    • LKG_The_3rd Kas'im von Lehon Iona Italia, PhD #LandaikanKurvanya Milan Gergis Nature AR James Cole Judith Stout
    6 replies 62 retweets 150 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Cassini Esq.‏ @calciocassini Mar 12
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        Replying to @G_S_Bhogal

        I think this is why the mortality rate in Italy is 6.72% (15k cases) while in Germany it is 0.2% (2.5k cases). Iran is also high at 4.26% (10k cases).

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Cassini Esq.‏ @calciocassini Mar 12
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        Replying to @calciocassini @G_S_Bhogal

        Illustrates why it is important to slow down the rate of spread. Once healthcare systems reach capacity, more people will die because they can’t be treated properly.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. JoeTDC‏ @_joetdc Mar 12
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        Replying to @G_S_Bhogal

        But also overestimates it because (varying by country) the statistics will include nearly every death, but nowhere near everyone who has been infected.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      2. j swank‏ @theallcingi Mar 12
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        Replying to @G_S_Bhogal

        What exactly do you mean by “everything else”? Lack of access to treatment?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Mar 12
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        Replying to @theallcingi

        Yes.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. kaiddu‏ @randiz2009 Mar 12
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        Replying to @G_S_Bhogal

        @jeitoapp same happened in Italy right ?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Thomas Mesnier‏ @ThomasMesnier Mar 12
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        Replying to @G_S_Bhogal

        Also, mortality rates are calculated on the basis of cumulated death on day N / existing infected on day N. 8 days ago Italy had 3,089 cases. Today they are at a cumulated 1,016 deaths. Either Covid19 kills quickly, or the actual mortality rate is much higher than 8,5%...

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