Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.

This is the legacy version of twitter.com. We will be shutting it down on June 1, 2020. Please switch to a supported browser, or disable the extension which masks your browser. You can see a list of supported browsers in our Help Center.

  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
G_S_Bhogal's profile
Gurindoor
Gurindoor
Gurindoor
@G_S_Bhogal

Tweets

Gurindoor

@G_S_Bhogal

Connoisseur of antidepressants. Words about psychology, philosophy, politics.

Joined November 2014

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      MEGATHREAD TIME: In 40 tweets I will describe 40 powerful concepts for understanding the world. Some are complex so forgive me for oversimplifying, but the main purpose is to incite curiosity. Okay, here we go:

      727 replies 18,165 retweets 50,422 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Causal Reductionism: Things rarely happen for just 1 reason. Usually, outcomes result from many causes conspiring together. But our minds cannot process such a complex arrangement, so we tend to ascribe outcomes to single causes, reducing the web of causality to a mere thread.

      34 replies 561 retweets 3,804 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Ergodicity: A die rolled 100 times has equal probabilities to 100 dice rolled once; rolling a die is “ergodic”. But if the die gets chipped after 10 throws so it’s likelier to roll 4, then 1 die 100 times =/= 100 dice once (non-ergodic). Many treat non-ergodic systems as ergodic.

      21 replies 216 retweets 1,869 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Dunning-Kruger Effect: Awareness of the limitations of cognition (thinking) requires a proficiency in metacognition (thinking about thinking). In other words, being stupid makes you too stupid to realize how stupid you are.

      73 replies 1,369 retweets 6,305 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Emergence: When many simple objects interact with each other, they can form a system that has qualities that the objects themselves don’t. Examples: neurons creating consciousness, traders creating the stock-market, simple mathematical rules creating “living” patterns.pic.twitter.com/3lPd3JEhuB

      52 replies 356 retweets 2,666 likes
      Show this thread
      Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Cultural Parasitism: An ideology parasitizes the mind, changing the host’s behavior so they spread it to other people. Therefore, a successful ideology (the only kind we hear about) is not configured to be true; it is configured only to be easily transmitted and easily believed.

      3:25 PM - 6 Feb 2020
      • 897 Retweets
      • 4,659 Likes
      • Sanghi Bee 🐝 Craig Yourself Before You Greg Yourself Sabrina Robert Sharaf CroZzB3ST randycanegaly J Money shonatiger Antti A.
      48 replies 897 retweets 4,659 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Cumulative Error: Mistakes grow. Beliefs are built on beliefs, so one wrong thought can snowball into a delusional worldview. Likewise, as an inaccuracy is reposted on the web, more is added to it, creating fake news. In our networked age, cumulative errors are the norm.

          23 replies 562 retweets 2,838 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Survivorship Bias: We overemphasize the examples that pass a visibility threshold e.g. our understanding of serial killers is based on the ones who got caught. Equally, news is only news if it’s an exception rather than the rule, but since it’s what we see we treat it as the rule

          17 replies 384 retweets 2,491 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Simpson’s Paradox: A trend can appear in groups of data but disappear when these groups are combined. This effect can easily be exploited by limiting a dataset so that it shows exactly what one wants it to show. Thus: beware of even the strongest correlations.pic.twitter.com/O34Or7V5rN

          24 replies 671 retweets 3,586 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Condorcet Paradox: a special instance of Simpson’s paradox applied to elections, in which a populace prefers candidate A to candidate B, candidate B to C, and yet candidate C to A. This occurs because the majority that favors C is misleadingly divided among different groups.

          18 replies 170 retweets 1,330 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Limited Hangout: A common tactic by journos & politicians of revealing intriguing but relatively innocent info to satisfy curiosity and prevent discovery of more incriminating info. E.g. a politician accused of snorting cocaine may confess to having smoked marijuana at college.

          13 replies 255 retweets 1,618 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Focusing Illusion: Nothing is ever as important as what you’re thinking about while you’re thinking about it. E.g. worrying about a thing makes the thing being worried about seem worse than it is. As Marcus Aurelius observed, “We suffer more often in imagination that in reality.”

          16 replies 945 retweets 4,443 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Concept Creep: As a social issue such as racism or sexual harassment becomes rarer, people react by expanding their definition of it, creating the illusion that the issue is actually getting worse. I explain the process in detail here:https://rabbitholemag.com/how-progress-blinds-people-to-progress/ …

          44 replies 868 retweets 3,847 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Streetlight Effect: People tend to get their information from where it’s easiest to look. E.g. the majority of research uses only the sources that appear on the first page of Google search results, regardless of how factual they are. Cumulatively, this can skew an entire field.

          12 replies 369 retweets 2,319 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Belief Bias: Arguments we'd normally reject for being idiotic suddenly seem perfectly logical if they lead to conclusions we approve of. In other words, we judge an argument’s strength not by how strongly it supports the conclusion but by how strongly *we* support the conclusion.

          22 replies 556 retweets 2,768 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Pluralistic Ignorance: Phenomenon where a group goes along with a norm, even though all of the group members secretly hate it, because each mistakenly believes that the others approve of it. (See also: Abilene Paradox)

          25 replies 445 retweets 2,258 likes
          Show this thread
        12. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          The Petrie Multiplier: In fields in which men outnumber women, such as in STEM, women receive an underestimated amount of harassment due to the fact that there are more potential givers than receivers of harassment. (See also: Lotka–Volterra equations)pic.twitter.com/ufCSQqAC0m

          19 replies 261 retweets 1,280 likes
          Show this thread
        13. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Woozle Effect: An article makes a claim without evidence, is then cited by another, which is cited by another, and so on, until the range of citations creates the impression that the claim has evidence, when really all articles are citing the same uncorroborated source.

          44 replies 554 retweets 2,780 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Tocqueville Paradox: As the living standards in a society rise, the people’s expectations of the society rise with it. The rise in expectations eventually surpasses the rise in living standards, inevitably resulting in disaffection (and sometimes populist uprisings).

          22 replies 447 retweets 2,508 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Ultimate Attribution Error: We tend to attribute good acts by allies to their character, and bad acts by allies to situational factors. For opponents, it’s reversed: good acts are attributed to situational factors, and bad acts to character.

          13 replies 436 retweets 2,304 likes
          Show this thread
        16. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Golden Hammer: When someone, usually an intellectual who has gained a cultish following for popularizing a concept, becomes so drunk with power he thinks he can apply that concept to everything. Every mention of this concept should be accompanied by a picture of @nntaleb.pic.twitter.com/V4fMpZVWfX

          42 replies 304 retweets 2,305 likes
          Show this thread
        17. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Pareto Principle: Pattern of nature in which ~80% of effects result from ~20% of causes. E.g. 80% of wealth is held by 20% of people, 80% of computer errors result from 20% of bugs, 80% of crimes are committed by 20% of criminals, 80% of box office revenue comes from 20% of films

          15 replies 254 retweets 1,668 likes
          Show this thread
        18. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Nirvana Fallacy: When people reject a thing because it compares unfavorably to an ideal that in reality is unattainable. E.g. condemning capitalism due to the superiority of imagined socialism, condemning ruthlessness in war due to imagining humane (but unrealistic) ways to win.

          17 replies 432 retweets 2,191 likes
          Show this thread
        19. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Emotive Conjugation: Synonyms can yield positive or negative impressions without changing the basic meaning of a word. Example: someone who is obstinate (neutral term) can be “headstrong” (positive) or “pig-headed” (negative). This is the basis for much bias in journalism.

          12 replies 307 retweets 1,785 likes
          Show this thread
        20. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Anentiodromia: An excess of something can give rise to its opposite. E.g. A society that is too liberal will be tolerant of tyrants, who will eventually make it illiberal. I explain more here:https://quillette.com/2018/09/30/alex-jones-was-victimized-by-one-oligopoly-but-he-perpetuated-another/ …

          13 replies 284 retweets 1,430 likes
          Show this thread
        21. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Halo Effect: When a person sees an agreeable characteristic in something or someone, they assume other agreeable characteristics. Example: if a Trump supporter sees someone wearing a MAGA cap, he’s likely to think that person is also decent, honest, hard-working, etc.

          9 replies 222 retweets 1,226 likes
          Show this thread
        22. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Outgroup Homogeneity Effect: We tend to view outgroup members as all the same e.g. believing all Trump supporters would see someone wearing a MAGA cap, and think that person is also decent, honest, hard-working, etc.

          5 replies 110 retweets 880 likes
          Show this thread
        23. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Matthew Principle: Advantage begets advantage, leading to social, economic, and cultural oligopolies. The richer you are the easier it is to get even richer, the more recognition a scientist receives for a discovery the more recognition he’ll receive for future discoveries, etc.

          13 replies 347 retweets 1,797 likes
          Show this thread
        24. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Peter Principle: People in a hierarchy such as a business or government will be promoted until they suck at their jobs, at which point they will remain where they are. As a result, the world is filled with people who suck at their jobs.

          34 replies 578 retweets 3,147 likes
          Show this thread
        25. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Loki’s Wager: Fallacy where someone tries to defend a concept from criticism, or dismiss it as a myth, by unduly claiming it cannot be defined. E.g. “God works in mysterious ways” (god of the gaps), “race is biologically meaningless” (Lewontin’s fallacy).pic.twitter.com/zKtZhRrj8K

          14 replies 220 retweets 1,261 likes
          Show this thread
        26. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Subselves: We use different mental processes in different situations, so each of us is not a single character but a collection of different characters, who take turns to commandeer the body depending on the situation. There is an office “you”, a lover “you”, an online “you”, etc.

          30 replies 595 retweets 2,553 likes
          Show this thread
        27. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Goodhart’s Law: When a measure becomes a goal, it ceases to become a measure. E.g. British colonialists tried to control snakes in India. They measured progress by number of snakes killed, offering money for snake corpses. People responded by breeding snakes & killing them.

          19 replies 349 retweets 1,977 likes
          Show this thread
        28. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Radical Phase Transition (my term): Extremist movements can behave like solids (tyrannies), liquids (insurgencies), and gases (conspiracy theories). Pressuring them causes them to go from solid => liquid => gas. Leaving them alone causes them to go from gas => liquid => solid.

          28 replies 139 retweets 938 likes
          Show this thread
        29. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Legibility: We see a complex natural system, assume that because it *looks* messy that it must be disordered, then impose our own order on it to make it “legible”. But in removing the messiness we remove essential components of the system that we couldn’t grasp, and it fails.pic.twitter.com/LQqvpkFcMp

          16 replies 243 retweets 1,255 likes
          Show this thread
        30. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Shifting Baseline Syndrome: Frog says to Fish, “how’s the water?” Fish replies, “what’s water?” We become blind to what we’re familiar with. And since the world is always changing, and we're always getting used to it, we can even become blind to the slow march of catastrophe.

          12 replies 334 retweets 1,631 likes
          Show this thread
        31. Gurindoor‏ @G_S_Bhogal Feb 6
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Availability Cascade: When a new concept enters the arena of ideas, people react to it, thereby amplifying it. The idea thus becomes more popular, causing even more people to amplify it by reacting to it, until everyone feels the need to talk about it.

          18 replies 127 retweets 711 likes
          Show this thread
        32. 5 more replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2020 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info