Contrarian: 'Christmas did not exist before Die Hard. Because tail risk.' Historians: 'Here is evidence that it did.' Contrarian: 'You are all imbeciles who don't live in the real world and aren't as rich like me. Gabish?'
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I think Taleb is a clever man with some great ideas, but he also has a huge ego that causes him to overestimate the rectitude of his opinions. His expertise is in one area of mathematics, and he thinks he can understand *everything* through it, but that's not how the world works.
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He also keeps claiming, like you, that he takes BIG RISKS (TM) in the REAL WORLD (TM), while everyone else has no SKIN IN THE GAME (TM). This is self-serving rubbish. He likely takes *some* risks, just like everyone else. But risk alone doesn't make him right about anything.
End of conversation
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