Perhaps humanity’s greatest extinction risk is not climate change or rogue AI, but people losing interest in procreation due to finding fulfilment in the endless phantasmagoria of technogenic distractions.
The fertility rate required to maintain a stable population is around 2.3. We're near that number already, and if the declining trend continues, we'll soon fall short of it.
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2.3 is higher than replacement value, that Lancet article puts it at 2.05 with added caveat that global population can continue to grow even if total fert. rate is below replacement value.pic.twitter.com/AFGqDr5MMq
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The replacement value varies greatly between developed and developing countries. For some reason Lancet has given the standard average rate for developed countries. The last comprehensive study of this, in 2003, found a global average of 2.33.https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023%2FB%3APOPU.0000020882.29684.8e …
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