Perhaps humanity’s greatest extinction risk is not climate change or rogue AI, but people losing interest in procreation due to finding fulfilment in the endless phantasmagoria of technogenic distractions.
The UN median projection seems to heavily exaggerate population growth when considered next to the latest findings: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-46118103 …
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Not sure we can conclude that? Seems the authors of that Lancet study haven't attempted to estimate / revise global population growth based on their data against these two projections. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(18)32278-5/fulltext …
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The fertility rate required to maintain a stable population is around 2.3. We're near that number already, and if the declining trend continues, we'll soon fall short of it.
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