On what grounds you you believe this thoughtful take renders it plausible that of all the apparently drunk kids at these parties, at this school, it was specifically Kavanaugh participating in this incident 35 years ago thus justifying any part of this miserable spectacle?
I haven't seen any indication that she was unsure immediately after the event. And, while I'm normally dismissive of eyewitness testimony towards strangers due to the mutability of memory, the fact that Ford knew Kavanaugh changes the calculus considerably.
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