We can never really know if an outcome is good or bad, because outcomes never end.
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As for your second sentence, that is a complete non-sequitur to what I said.
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Bear in mind that I'm talking about being certain that something is good, not suspecting it is good. hence why I used the words "never really know". I suspect jumping into a shark tank would be bad, but I cannot be sure it would be better than not jumping into one at that moment.
End of conversation
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