"Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread" of #Coronarivus. 815 people infected in Wuhan as of Jan 25. Epidemic doubling time 6·4 days. Chongqing, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, & Shenzhen imported 461, 113, 98, 111, and 80 infections from Wuhan.
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"If the transmissibility of [#Coronarivus ]were similar everywhere domestically and over time, epidemics are already growing exponentially in multiple major cities of China with a lag time behind the Wuhan outbreak of about 1–2 weeks."https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9/fulltext …
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