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We are neutral in the Democratic primary but we ARE experts on Iowa so we want to give you a few tips for what to look for tonight if you want clues for which candidates are doing well in the most important parts of the state.
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Jackson, Jones, Winnishiek, Fayette and Clinton Counties will be home to the tightest state house races in November. They’re also ancestrally Democratic rural counties so we’ll need to win places like that in 2020.pic.twitter.com/vXHqClYyPM
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Linn County is a prosperous, well-educated regional hub with a lot of Democratic votes, and will have the top State House pickup opportunity in 2020.pic.twitter.com/B33Z193Ltw
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Polk and Dallas Counties contain the bulk of Greater Des Moines as well as a lot of competitive state legislative races. They also contain many of the most diverse caucus sites in the state and will be more indicative of the overall Democratic vote than elsewhere in Iowa.pic.twitter.com/JGcU3rqZD3
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Pottawattamie and Woodbury Counties are traditionally Republican but Obama won the state twice by keeping margins close here. They also have competitive state legislative races every cycle.pic.twitter.com/G5xnoZHN3z
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And Scott and Muscatine Counties are home to 4 seats that Democrats could flip in November. The Quad Cities area is similar to other mid-sized Midwestern metros that only narrowly voted for Clinton after giving Dems big margins in the past.pic.twitter.com/bM8iBypLZ2
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