𝐒𝐠𝐭. 𝐑𝐨𝐧 𝐇𝐞𝐥𝐮𝐬
•54 years old
•From Moorpark, CA
•Ventura County Sheriff
•29-year veteran of the force
•Set to retire in the next year
•Survived by wife and son
"𝘏𝘦 𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘥𝘢𝘯𝘨𝘦𝘳 — 𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘪𝘥𝘯'𝘵 𝘸𝘢𝘭𝘬"
- Ventura County Sheriff Geoff Dean
Fox News Research
@FoxNewsResearch
Fox News Research’s Tweets
U.S. Mass Shootings
- 10+ fatalities
•Apr 1998 (Columbine) to Jun 2012: 𝐅𝐢𝐯𝐞
•July 2012 (Aurora) to Sep 2017: 𝐅𝐨𝐮𝐫
•𝐋𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝟒𝟎𝟑 𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬: 𝐒𝐢𝐱
-Las Vegas (58)
-Sutherland Springs (26)
-Parkland (17)
-Santa Fe HS (10)
-Pittsburgh Synagogue (11)
-CA bar (12)
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Thousand Oaks, CA Bar Shooting:
What We Know:
•12 dead, not including gunman
—Sheriff’s Sgt. Ron Helus among dead
—Helus shot upon entering bar
•Multiple injuries
•Gunman found dead inside
What We Don't Know:
•Gunman’s identity or motive
•Type of gun used
•How gunman died
Quote Tweet
Thousand Oaks, CA Bar Shooting:
→ What We Know:
•12 dead, not including gunman
—Sheriff’s Sgt. Ron Helus among dead
—Helus shot immediately upon entering bar
•Multiple injuries
•Gunman found dead inside
→ What We Don't Know:
•Gunman’s identity or motive
•How gunman died twitter.com/FoxNews/status…
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Thousand Oaks, CA Bar Shooting:
→ What We Know:
•12 dead, not including gunman
—Sheriff’s Sgt. Ron Helus among dead
—Helus shot immediately upon entering bar
•Multiple injuries
•Gunman found dead inside
→ What We Don't Know:
•Gunman’s identity or motive
•How gunman died
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Democrats flipped governorships in seven Republican-held states:
•Illinois
•Kansas
•Michigan
•Maine
•New Mexico
•Nevada
•Wisconsin
#ElectionResults2018
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US-NoKo Talks
On Again, Off Again
•5/24: Trump cancels summit over NK rhetoric
•6/1: Trump says summit back on
•8/23: Pompeo NK trip
•8/24: Trump cancels trip over lack of progress
•11/5: State Dept says Pompeo to meet Kim aide in NY
•Today: 👇
foxnews.com/world/pompeos-
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#ElectionResults2018
𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐋𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐬𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐥
—𝐉𝐚𝐧 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟗:
🗳️GOP to have control in 30 states vs 18 for Dems
🗳️MN: Only state w/ divided control
🗳️Lowest number of divided legislatures since 1914
*NE not counted, legislature is unicameral
(NCSL)
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Tester Holds on in MT:
•1 of 5 Senate Dems who ran in a state Trump won by double digits (+21 pts)
•Trump attacked Tester over his handling of Dr. Jackson's nomination for VA
•11/3: Trump rallied in Bozeman, MT
•Outside groups spent $17M against Tester
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Whitaker →
When a cabinet post is left vacant by resignation or death, a replacement can serve in an acting capacity for 210 days, or more if no permanent replacement is confirmed.
[1998 Federal Vacancies Reform Act]
👇
Quote Tweet
Matthew Whitaker
- Acting Attorney General
•49 years old
•Chief of Staff to Sessions since Oct 2017
•2014: Ran unsuccessfully for Iowa US Senate seat (lost to Joni Ernst)
•2004-2009: US Attorney, Southern District of Iowa
•2002: GOP nominee for Iowa treasurer (lost bid) twitter.com/FoxNews/status…
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WH Cabinet Departures
HHS: 𝐓𝐨𝐦 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞
•232 days
State: 𝐑𝐞𝐱 𝐓𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐨𝐧
•406 days
VA: 𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐒𝐡𝐮𝐥𝐤𝐢𝐧
•432 days
EPA: 𝐒𝐜𝐨𝐭𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐭
•504 days
UN Amb: 𝐍𝐢𝐤𝐤𝐢 𝐇𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐲
•622 days (announced)
AG: 𝐉𝐞𝐟𝐟 𝐒𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬
•636 days
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Trump’s Biggest Beefs w/ Jeff Sessions:
•Russia probe recusal
•Not investigating Ds
•Not probing “Clinton ties to Russia”
•Weak position on “Clinton crimes”
•Didn’t look at “Comey crimes”
•Didn’t replace McCabe
•Weak position on leakers
•Used IG for FISA abuse probe
Quote Tweet
Trump's Recent Attacks on Sessions:
8/11: Scared stiff, MIA
8/23: Never took control of DOJ
8/25: Doesn’t understand what’s happening under his command
9/3: Blamed Sessions for charging two GOP Congressmen
9/4: Insults alleged in book "Fear"
9/19: Trump said “I don’t have an AG” twitter.com/FoxNews/status…
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Trump's Recent Attacks on Sessions:
8/11: Scared stiff, MIA
8/23: Never took control of DOJ
8/25: Doesn’t understand what’s happening under his command
9/3: Blamed Sessions for charging two GOP Congressmen
9/4: Insults alleged in book "Fear"
9/19: Trump said “I don’t have an AG”
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Matthew Whitaker
- Acting Attorney General
•49 years old
•Chief of Staff to Sessions since Oct 2017
•2014: Ran unsuccessfully for Iowa US Senate seat (lost to Joni Ernst)
•2004-2009: US Attorney, Southern District of Iowa
•2002: GOP nominee for Iowa treasurer (lost bid)
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Trump WH
-2018: Notable departures
•2/28: Hicks (Comm Director)
•3/6: Cohn (Chief Econ Advisor)
•3/22: McMaster (NSA)
•3/28: Shulkin (VA)
•3/31: Tillerson (State)
•4/10: Bossert (DHS adviser)
•5/2: Cobb (Counsel)
•7/5: Pruitt (EPA)
•10/9: Haley (UN)
•11/7: Sessions (AG)
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#Midterms2018
→ Turnout surge
•2018: Estimated 111.9 million
•47.5% of the voting-eligible population
•Highest turnout rate for a midterm election in five decades
•Turnout for a midterm hadn't topped 42% since 1970
👉
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Pelosi Leadership
•78 years old
•Dem leader since 2002
•Faced challenges in 2004, 2010, 2016
•2016: 63 Dems voted against Pelosi as Minority Leader
•2018: At least 10 newly elected Dems oppose Pelosi
→ 11 Dem incumbents have said they won't support Pelosi for speaker
Quote Tweet
President Trump throws his support behind Rep. Nancy Pelosi to be the next Speaker of the House
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Wins Despite Legal Woes:
AG Paxton (R-TX)
—2015 indictment (securities fraud)
Rep Gianforte (R-MT)
—2017 guilty plea (assault)
Sen Menendez (D-NJ)
—2017 mistrial (corruption)
Rep Collins (R-NY)
—Aug indictment (insider trading)
Rep Hunter (R-CA)
—Aug indictment (corruption)
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𝐒𝐮𝐧𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐒𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐭
- 6 of the past 10 statewide races in FL decided by less than 1.3 pct pts
—2018—
•Gov: DeSantis (R) +0.7
•Sen: Scott (R) +0.4
—2016—
•Trump (R) +1.2
—2014—
•Gov: Scott (R) +1.1
—2012—
•Obama (D) +0.8
—2010—
•Gov: Scott (R) +1.1
Quote Tweet
MORE: Scott leads by 34,537 votes out of more than 8 million cast -- a margin of 0.43 percent. State law calls for a recount if the winning candidate's margin is less than 0.5 percentage points:
fox13news.com/news/politics/
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Quote Tweet
According to NBC News, Voters Nationwide Disapprove of the so-called Mueller Investigation (46%) more than they Approve (41%). You mean they are finally beginning to understand what a disgusting Witch Hunt, led by 17 Angry Democrats, is all about!
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#Midterms2018
Senate & Governors:
- Razor-Thin Races
—Senate—
AZ: McSally (R) +0.9*
MT: Rosendale (R) +0.7*
FL: Scott (R) +0.4**
TX: Cruz (R) +2.6
—Governors—
CT: Lamont (D) +1.3
FL: Desantis (R) +0.7
GA: Kemp (R) +1.9
WI: Evers (D) +1.2
*pending
**recount called for
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#ElectionResults2018:
→ Here’s a look at the results in statewide races where #Trump held rallies in the campaign’s final week👇
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#Midterms2018
- Female Firsts
•100+ women in the House
•TN: First female Senator (Blackburn)
•1st Muslim women elected (MI & MN)
•TX: 1st two Hispanic women in Congress
•First female Governors (SD & ME)
•KS & NM: First Native American women to Congress
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Senate Democrats in States #Trump Won in 2016:
•Won Re-election:
→ Baldwin: WI
→ Brown: OH
→ Casey: PA
→ Manchin: WV
→ Stabenow: MI
•Defeated:
→ Donnelly: IN
→ Heitkamp: ND
→ McCaskill: MO
→ Nelson: FL
•Not Called:
→ Tester: MT
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Scott (R-FL) Flips Florida Senate Seat:
•Nelson (D-FL) was one of 10 Senate Democrats up for re-election in a state Trump won in 2016
•Scott (R-FL) spent $64M+ of his own money on his Senate race
•Trump rallied in FL on 10/31 & 11/3
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Hawley (R-MO) Flips Missouri Senate Seat:
•Missouri AG Josh Hawley, 38, will become youngest member of US Senate
•McCaskill (D-MO) was 1 of 5 Senate Dems up for re-election in a state Trump won by double-digits in 2016 (+19 pts)
•Trump rallied in MO on 11/1 and last night
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DeSantis (R-FL) wins FL Governor’s Race:
•DeSantis: 3-term Congressman, among Trump’s biggest allies
•Tallahassee Mayor Gillum (D) was FL’s 1st African-American gubernatorial nominee
•Trump attacked Gillum (D) in campaign’s final weeks
•Trump rallied in FL on 10/31 & 11/3
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Kelly (D) Wins KS Governor’s Race:
•2 former KS GOP governors backed KS state Senator Laura Kelly (D) over Kobach (R)
•Trump-backed Secretary of State Kobach (R) beat incumbent Colyer (R) in closest KS primary ever
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Heitkamp (D-ND) Loses Senate Seat:
•Heitkamp was one of five Senate Democrats up for re-election in a state Trump won by double-digits in 2016 (+36 pts)
•Trump helped recruit Rep. Cramer (R-ND) to challenge Heitkamp
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This would mark just the 4th time since 1954 that the House majority changed parties—once under each of the past 4 presidents.
•Clinton (1994): Rs won House majority for first time in 40 yrs
•Bush (2006): Ds took House
•Obama (2010): Rs took House
•Trump (2018): 👇
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Braun (R-IN) Flips Indiana Senate:
•Defeats Sen Donnelly (D)
•Braun (R-IN): Businessman, ran as a “DC outsider”
•2016: Trump won Indiana by 19 pts
•Trump rallied in Indiana on Friday and Monday
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Manchin Holds in WV:
•Manchin (D-WV) was one of five Senate Democrats up for re-election in a state Trump won by double-digits in 2016. (+42 pts)
•Manchin was the only Senate Democrat to vote for Kavanaugh
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𝐅𝐋-𝟐𝟕:
•Flipped R to D
•Rep Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL) retired
•2016: Clinton won FL-27 by 20 pts
•Shalala (D): HHS Secy under Clinton; headed Clinton Foundation
•Salazar (R): Emmy-winning former Univision journalist
Quote Tweet
With FL-27 pickup, Democrats now have 2 of the 23 seats they need to flip the House #Midterms
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Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) is one of 10 Senate Democrats who was facing re-election in a state Trump won in 2016.
Quote Tweet
Fox projects that Dem OH Senator Sherrod Brown will win a third term by defeating Republican Congressman Jim Renacci.
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𝐔𝐒 𝐒𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐞 Drought Monitor
•NJ: Hugin would be 1st GOP elected since '72
•AZ: Sinema would be 1st Dem elected since '88
•TX: O’Rourke would be 1st Dem elected since '88
•TN: Bredesen would be 1st Dem elected since '90
•MI: James would be 1st GOP elected since '94
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#OTD in 1860, Abraham Lincoln became the first Republican to win the presidency. Against three candidates, Lincoln received only about 40% of the popular vote, but won a substantial majority in the Electoral College with 180 votes.
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#ElectionDay 2018:
𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐞 “𝐒𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐬”
🗳️20 Congressional Districts in the US went from voting for Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016.
🗳️16 Congressional Districts in the US went from voting for Romney in 2012 to Clinton in 2016.
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The Crime Blotter:
- Manhattan Federal Court
Cesar Sayoc (L)
•56
•Charged with sending mail bombs
•Max sentence: 48 yrs
•Today: Held without bail
Akayed Ullah (R)
•28
•NYC subway pipe bomb
•Defense: Intended to only kill himself
•Today: Convicted of terrorism charges
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#ElectionDay
𝐁𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐭 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬
🗳️There are 155 statewide measures on ballots across 37 states on issues including:
•Abortion
•Marijuana
•Medicaid Expansion
•Redistricting
•Taxes
•Voting Rights/Voter ID
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#ElectionDay
𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖 𝐌𝐢𝐝𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐦 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝𝐬
•Early Vote:
→ 39M+ votes (so far)
→ 37 states exceed 2014
•Spending:
→ $5.2 billion
•Fundraising:
→ Q3: O'Rourke (D-TX) raised $38.1M
→ Most in a quarter by Senate candidate
•Women Running:
→ 260 for House/Senate
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