Let's start a cute dog thread... Whose got a pup photo they wanna share?
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(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway.
Host of CNN's Margins of Error, a podcast about statistical stories. cnn.it/3A8VJAn
I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.cnn.com/profiles/harry…Born March 1Joined April 2010
(((Harry Enten)))’s Tweets
I'm so out of it I just wrote 335 words of the story I originally told my editors I was going to file instead of the story I actually promised them. OOPS.
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Maybe it's because I've been at work since 5am... or maybe it's because it's 5pm on a Friday... but I just walked down the hall carrying my computer like a boombox and blasting/doing the dance to YMCA.
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Me whenever I'm forced to watch a non-sports, non-Simpsons, non-Seinfeld, non-South Park, non-election program
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There is an Eagle fan contingent on the train I'm on... One guy is wearing a Troy Vincent jersey... All of a sudden I hear "holy" followed by an expletive... From behind, Troy Vincent comes up and greets the guy... Nice moment.
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After a 6 month trial, a new study finds that 4-day work weeks rewarded both employees AND employers! So...why aren't we doing this already?? CC: all my bosses. breaks it all down:
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Whenever somebody says to me "i can't believe people voted for that person", I have the perfect response: I can't believe people voluntarily watch soccer.
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High quality polls (i.e. those that are transparent about methodology) were very good this year. MUCH lower error than the avg. since 1998. Little bias too. (Just look at NYT/Siena.)
Meanwhile, Trafalgar stunk & continues to be shadowy about its methods.
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One of my favorite segments... Combined snow and the Buffalo Bills
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Historic snowfall bearing down on western New York. @ForecasterEnten went to weather camp and he joins us to put the storm into perspective:
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I got my flu shot today... I don't want to say I don't like needles, but afterward the doctor said I was very brave and gave me two lollipops.
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When it's too tough for them, it's just right for us.
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I fell asleep at 11pm DST and woke up at 815 Standard. I finally did it right.
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I am a fan of shih tzus and lhasa apsos. What type of dogs do you like?
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A Very Important Baseball Update
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Tracking early voting is fine, but why you gotta be really, really, really, really careful into reading too much into it... especially if you don't know what you're doing.
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Cleveland would have had a better shot starting Chad Ogea.
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My Thoughts On The Bills Victory
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Arguably my favorite photo of me (and Patrick Mahomes) in the past year... One man very happy... One man very much not. #GoBills
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Well my week is now made. GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!
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BAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! YHONKAYS LOSE. AMERICA WINS!!!!!!!!
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Why the heck did Joe Biden go to Oregon yesterday? It's because Oregon may see its first GOP governor in my lifetime. Oregon could also see 2+ GOP members in its House delegation in nearly 30 years... I spoke with about it earlier this week.
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Our new CNN poll has Dems +3 on the generic ballot (great for them), but history and some more details from the poll suggest the GOP is in a pretty good position.
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NEW THIS MORNING: CNN polling shows Democrats still have a chance to hold control of Congress. @ForecasterEnten breaks down the numbers:
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Democrats lead in enough states to barely maintain control of the US Senate. What happens if we have a 2016 or 2020 like polling error? It's closer, but they're still ahead.
And with a 2018 like polling error, they'll additionally win Nevada where they currently trail.
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Can the Democrats win key Senate races with Joe Biden's approval rating under 50%? Midterm history says yes. Why? Disliked GOP Senate candidates
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Folks, the are playing in less than an hour. This past week I helped my friend understand that they are the favorites to win the Super Bowl & that there is only one team that plays its games in NY! Also, informed him the Bills mascot is... a buffalo.
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twitter.com/i/status/15773
GOP holds an 11 pt edge on who Americans trust more on the issue most important to them, which is the 2nd highest lead ever with a Democratic pres. GOP has won an average of 230 seats when ahead on this question before a midterm
cnn.com/2022/10/04/pol
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A new poll is raising questions about what issues voters care about the most. @ForecasterEnten joins us to break down the latest:
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New data shows Democrats losing support from a reliable base. reports on the shift in trends among Black voters:
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Not just among Hispanics, but Dems have seen a dip among Black voters too. Now, Dems up 62 pts on the generic ballot. It was 76 pts in pre-election polling in 2018. Final polls had Biden up by 75 pts in 2020.
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Folks, I don't tweet very much these days... Don't worry (if you were)... I'm doing fine... Here I am on the ground basically praying that Tyler Bass makes a field goal. (He did.)
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Just saying hi... and hope you are doing well.
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Travel is supposed to be fun…but it often ends up being a headache — delays, fees, crowds. Yuck.
I talked with some experts about how to make travel less of a hassle. Listen here before you pack for your summer vacation. You might just thank me. cnn.it/3OTfHq7
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I hate the Yankees. I love the Buffalo Bills, as I love underdogs.
But what is about the less-than-likely-to-win teams that make us love them so much? I asked some folks — including — to weigh in for my podcast.
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A historically unpopular Supreme Court just made a historically unpopular decision...
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I'm a huge weather nerd. To me, predicting the weather has always seemed like magic.
In reality, it's a serious science — one that's better than it's ever been.
So how does it all work? I sought out the secrets of today's weather wizards. cnn.it/3OzggVo
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So I called up some writers, romance novelists and relationship experts to help me figure out what’s going on. (Spoiler alert: The news isn’t *so* grim.)
But if you want to know more, you’ll have to listen to this week’s Margins of Error.😉
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Now...partnership. That survey also found 30% of adults 25-54 do NOT have a steady partner — up from 20% in 1986.
On top of that, more people are delaying marriage than before...and fewer people are getting married overall.
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We’ll start with something spicy: sex. Listening yet?
The 2021 General Social Survey found that 55% of Americans 25-54 had sex LESS than one time a week over the past year. (That’s a record since that question was first asked in 1989.)
Does that seem odd to you?
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This week’s Margins of Error is all about love, sex and romance...and whether they’ve gone missing.
Let’s talk about some of the stats and polling that inspired me to look into it.🕵🏻♂️🧵
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