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Biden may have a young voter (18-34 year-old) problem. In last 5 live probability polls, he leads Trump by 14 pts. Clinton won them by 22 (or 24). Remember, Biden leads nationally by 6 (Clinton won by 2), so he's underperforming as he does better overall.https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/16/politics/biden-young-voters/index.html …
In the final polls that included Sanders, Biden did ~8 pts worse among 18-34 year-olds in the matchups against Trump than Sanders. This despite Biden doing better overall against Trump... This follows Biden's poor performance with them in the primary.
The question is whether this is all temporary after the primary... and the youngest voters in the electorate come clearly back into the fold... It definitely could be. But it's a good reason to think that Biden does need Sanders.
I'll also note this comes at a time when Biden is doing better among seniors than Clinton did... So the age gap has shrunk among seniors and young folks... (Gen X-young Boomers may actually be most GOP part of electorate right now.)
That's the type of thing can make me really wonder about the electoral map... Maybe things won't fold together as neatly as we think it might? We'll see...
Doesn’t that mean he’s doing better with older voters. Who are also more likely to vote. Seems like a positive. And also means he has more room to grow!
The poll asks likely voters, not registered voters. But yes, he is doing better with older voters who are more reliable.
That’s the attitude.
Room to grow, then
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