I've written on it before (here just two weeks ago https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/12/politics/bernie-sanders-2020-election-poll-of-the-week/index.html …) and tweeted about... but I want to reemphasize that the Sanders path is increasingly clear to me.
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The data show Bernie's real chance, which people accept at an intellectual level, but they refuse to believe it anyway because "guts." Seems right to me from what I've noticed.
End of conversation
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he's the safest bet
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I totally get that you support him, and I support your right to support him, but saying that nominating someone who calls themself a Socialist is the safest bet wholly ignores the demographics of American voters. Older people vote way more often than younger people.
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Who put the hallucinations in your diet cream soda?
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He polls ahead of Trump consistently. And then people say “oh, he’d lose 45 states!”. They have this vision of America as preferring woke Democrats to economic progressives, and there’s no evidence of that.
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Obviously Trump was in a much stronger polling position 4 years ago, but the dynamic feels similar. The conventional wisdom is he can’t win, so people write the polls off as a fluke and think it’s going to change, any day now
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He is also starting to pick off people who endorsed other candidates that are still in the race, in this case in SC(!): https://apnews.com/0a737f5ec6f858829b51ea9b7e8bb41d …
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