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ForecasterEnten's profile
(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))
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@ForecasterEnten

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(((Harry Enten)))Verified account

@ForecasterEnten

Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway. Host of CNN's Margins of Error, a podcast about statistical stories. http://cnn.it/3A8VJAn 

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
cnn.com/profiles/harry…
Joined April 2010

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    1. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 23 Jan 2020

      I've written on it before (here just two weeks ago https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/12/politics/bernie-sanders-2020-election-poll-of-the-week/index.html …) and tweeted about... but I want to reemphasize that the Sanders path is increasingly clear to me.

      50 replies 100 retweets 452 likes
      Show this thread
    2. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 23 Jan 2020

      What have we seen? Well our CNN/DMR Iowa poll showed him at 20%. (Others were close enough). But what is key there is the trendline. We've seen it across the board too... Jump next to NH... Look at this very high quality poll showing him gaining & ahead https://www.wbur.org/news/2020/01/23/new-hampshire-bernie-sanders-lead-january …

      5 replies 17 retweets 99 likes
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    3. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 23 Jan 2020

      Nationally, what have we seen? Again, Sanders at his highest point in the polling averages since his post-announcement bump... Oh and a number of national polls show him holding his own with nonwhite and yes even black voters.

      7 replies 16 retweets 117 likes
      Show this thread
      (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 23 Jan 2020

      I think the possibility of Sanders has certainly been acknowledged by most... but what I also think is true is that people may acknowledge it in their heads but not in their guts. They certainly should if they haven't. It's not just a possibility. It's a distinct possibility.

      8:30 AM - 23 Jan 2020
      • 24 Retweets
      • 140 Likes
      • PhillyDem🌐🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Ramona Massachi Kevin Bartley John Hooks Tiffany Y کوروش Kelspence🌹 MissingPundit BitByBit_8_16
      22 replies 24 retweets 140 likes
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Brian Cairns‏ @briantcairns 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @SteveBot75 @ForecasterEnten

          The data show Bernie's real chance, which people accept at an intellectual level, but they refuse to believe it anyway because "guts." Seems right to me from what I've noticed.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. brian abrams‏Verified account @BrianAbrams 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten

          he's the safest bet

          1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
        3. Lisa‏ @AmidPrivilege 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @BrianAbrams @ForecasterEnten

          I totally get that you support him, and I support your right to support him, but saying that nominating someone who calls themself a Socialist is the safest bet wholly ignores the demographics of American voters. Older people vote way more often than younger people.

          4 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. George Brenner‏ @vanreuter 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten

          Who put the hallucinations in your diet cream soda?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Mike Mitchell‏ @MikeMitchNH 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten

          He polls ahead of Trump consistently. And then people say “oh, he’d lose 45 states!”. They have this vision of America as preferring woke Democrats to economic progressives, and there’s no evidence of that.

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. This Tweet is unavailable.
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        1. Work From Home Champ‏ @jryanlaw 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten

          NOPE

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. DJ‏ @DjRodgers1231 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten

          Obviously Trump was in a much stronger polling position 4 years ago, but the dynamic feels similar. The conventional wisdom is he can’t win, so people write the polls off as a fluke and think it’s going to change, any day now

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Eric Heggie‏ @EricHeggie 23 Jan 2020
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten

          He is also starting to pick off people who endorsed other candidates that are still in the race, in this case in SC(!): https://apnews.com/0a737f5ec6f858829b51ea9b7e8bb41d …

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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