Bigger problem for Biden to lose both or for Sanders to lose both? I agree that this would be really, really bad for Biden. But, seems campaign-ending bad for Sanders.
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Yeah especially cause Biden will make up whatever delegates he loses by winning South Carolina in a landslide.
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But he can lose those and win South Carolina in a landslide and make up the delegates.
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I could easily see Warren taking Iowa and Sanders winning New Hampshire. Biden is relying on a similar strategy to Clinton in 2016..push past the first few states and rack up wins in the South.
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PREDICTIONS, LET'S HAVE EM. I'm guessing IA=Warren, NH=Sanders, SC=Biden, NV=Warren.
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I agree with the first 3. Not sure on NV.
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Could be wrong with the D Primary polls don't move a lot here and the timing of early 4 vs. Super Tuesday is only 30 days that limits the impact of Iowa and New Hampshire. And yea if Biden loses big (third place) both IA and NH will be a problem.
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However, I don't know losing both is huge issue for Biden here. (It would indicate to me polling problems not building momentum IMO.) Of course it would be nice to have a better handle on Nevada though as a Biden victory there and bigger one of SC would put him back on top.
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It ~would~ be a blow on electability, but it ~shouldn't be~ (???) (Disclaimer Biden does suck.) If WI/PA/MI had open primaries and were first in the nation and Biden lost there, it would and should be a bigger blow... But Primary electibiltiy =/= GE electibiltiy.
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