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ForecasterEnten's profile
(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))
Verified account
@ForecasterEnten

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(((Harry Enten)))Verified account

@ForecasterEnten

Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway. Host of CNN's Margins of Error, a podcast about statistical stories. http://cnn.it/3A8VJAn 

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
cnn.com/profiles/harry…
Joined April 2010

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    (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 16 Mar 2019

    On Google searches, O'Rourke came in a fairly distant third on launch day.... Harris remains #1 with Sanders a close #2.

    9:57 PM - 16 Mar 2019
    • 29 Retweets
    • 198 Likes
    • CheekyMaru 🌼😷💉✨ Stank Angel Greg C (Cable News Sufferer) Zeenat Kwon Griffin Powell TBS 🏳️‍🌈✊🏿🗳♻️ Sabrina. 🌈 Derek Ashworth (FAFN) 🚽⛳🥃✈🛫 Chris Brown
    29 replies 29 retweets 198 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 17 Mar 2019

        So just so I'm very clear on what I did... I used Google Topics for this https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2018-12-31%202019-03-17&geo=US&q=%2Fm%2F0dty9d,%2Fm%2F01_gbv,%2Fm%2F08sry2,%2Fm%2F06p430,%2Fm%2F01qh39 … This is what ProPublica's election bot uses and what Google Trends itself used on its 2018 TX Senate pagehttps://trends.google.com/trends/story/US_cu_rt6ubWUBAABlMM_en …

        3 replies 0 retweets 16 likes
        Show this thread
      3. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 17 Mar 2019

        (((Harry Enten))) Retweeted Patrick Ruffini

        Topic trends r what my friend @natesilver538 suggested using last week for Beto (https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1106561474414153729?p=v …) Possible Google Trends isnt fully capturing "Beto-mania"? Yes. @patrickruffini has got good stuff (https://mobile.twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1107264760666640389?p=v …). But wut I said last night is what we usually use

        (((Harry Enten))) added,

        Patrick RuffiniVerified account @PatrickRuffini
        Replying to @ForecasterEnten
        It's frustrating but it's probably not a high priority for them to precisely calibrate this in every instance as search behavior is different each time. Take a look at Bernie vs. Beto, both names and topics over 5 years. pic.twitter.com/8K0ZhrexmE
        4 replies 2 retweets 13 likes
        Show this thread
      4. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 17 Mar 2019

        Quick update on this... I'm asking Google what they suggest using. I think gap between "topic" trends (which usually capture everything) surrounding Beto & search trends of just "Beto" are wide enough to warrant further investigation.

        5 replies 1 retweet 19 likes
        Show this thread
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ryan‏ @SavnRyansPrvate 16 Mar 2019
        Replying to @ForecasterEnten

        Could it have something to do with the fact that people basically know who Sanders and O'Rourke are already or nah

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Conrad‏ @IDUnavailable 16 Mar 2019
        Replying to @SavnRyansPrvate @ForecasterEnten

        I'd say this is despite the fact that Sanders has far higher name recognition. From MorningConsult earlier this month, the number of people who didn't know who Beto was was ~10x higher than the same for Bernie. (~30% vs. ~3%). Much higher "heard of, no opinion" as well.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Arthur Paine‏ @johnlecare 16 Mar 2019
        Replying to @ForecasterEnten

        What about Beto

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Brian Cairns‏ @briantcairns 16 Mar 2019
        Replying to @gregfeltes @ForecasterEnten @NateSilver538

        Harry isn't an idiot like those Nate was criticizing.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Low‏ @mlow29 16 Mar 2019
        Replying to @ForecasterEnten

        Bust

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. justreadingdontaddme‏ @justreadingdon1 17 Mar 2019
        Replying to @mlow29 @ForecasterEnten

        Just a few percentages right?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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