(((Harry Enten)))Verified account

@ForecasterEnten

Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway. Party ID does not equal Party Registration.

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
Joined April 2010
Born on March 01

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  1. I don't think there is a better example of how people not popular in their time become much more so via history than MLK Jr. He had a favorable rating of only 32% in 1966. In 2011, on the same scale, it was 94%.

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  2. This is trash and should stop this at once.

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  3. Looking at those GFS model soundings for 72 hours away...

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  4. Scott Walker's approval rating is 47%. He's never faced election during a midterm where the GOP controls the WH. Last night, left won first open WI Supreme Court seat since 1995. You do the math.

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  5. I'm rather confused on how this is a good result for Espy. Not only do the GOP candidates add up to a lot more than Espy gets, but Hyde-Smith is beating McDaniel for the second runoff spot.

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  6. The president's current approval rating given what I think is the average vote/seat curve at this time projects out to about a 35 seat gain for the Dems in the House but with a large margin of error in that estimate.

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  7. Tough road for Dems given the map, so GOP is favored... But if we get a swing like we've been getting in the specials, it makes it far more interesting for sure.

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  8. Here's what we know about specials: 1. Swing towards the Dems is large enough for them to take back House. 2. There is a high correlation between specials & midterm results. 3. Any projection comes w/ margin of error, * GOP holding onto the House is within so said margin of error

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  9. Fact is that WI Supreme Court election is just one datapoint... but it's the latest manifestation that there is clearly a swing to the left going on in these elections...

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  10. We go live to Scott Walker...

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  11. Retweeted
    Apr 3

    Rasmussen’s polls were worse for Obama than the RCP average 93 percent of the time through March 2010. Rasmussen’s polls have been better for Trump than the RCP average 99 percent of the time.

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  12. I said it yesterday and I'll say it again today... Trump's average approval is up from December. it's up 2-3 points. It's been rather steady the last three months. It's historically the worst at this point in a presidency.

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  13. My national championship was last weekend when Duke lost.

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  14. John Kasich could kill a child and ARG would still find him competitive.

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  15. Wanna thank the Washington Post for that opinion piece on Jewish men. As if i, as a Jewish man, dont feel guilty enough for not calling my Mom every hour on the hour, I can now feel extra guilty.

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  16. It might even be a chance for and me to be on the same stage!

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  17. If I ever host a trivia show in the west, it'll likely be at the that is opening at the Rio on April 5th. Noam who owns it has been a surrogate father to me and has opened his doors to political junkies like , you, and I are.

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  18. My Esty piece from over the weekend on why I thought she could be in trouble for reelection. This not a deeply blue district. Clinton won it by only 4. It goes GOP in gov elections. Esty won by only 3 (in open seat) in '12. Also lots of indies in district

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  19. I mean force her out now.

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  20. Oh wow. I do wonder if the pressure will increase to force her out.

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