(((Harry Enten)))Verified account

@ForecasterEnten

Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway. Host of CNN's Margins of Error Podcast. Listen to the trailer: Premieres 9/21

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
cnn.com/profiles/harry…
Joined April 2010
Born March 01
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    18 Jan 2019

    Let's start a cute dog thread... Whose got a pup photo they wanna share?

    3,024 replies 173 retweets 1,762 likes
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  2. 6 hours ago

    For an upcoming episode of my new podcast Margins of Error, I’d like to hear your recollections of Election Night 2020: Did you stay up to watch the returns? Where were you when the race was finally called? Leave me a voicemail about it at 347-433-8077.

    22 replies 12 retweets 116 likes
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  3. 19 hours ago

    Trust the polls.

    68 replies 66 retweets 1,353 likes
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  4. Sep 14

    Folks, I have a new podcast, Margins of Error, premiering next Tues, 9/21. I worked hard on it, & I'd love if you gave it a try. Each episode is a statistical journey through the world around us like ghost belief & daylight saving time. Here's the trailer

    45 replies 66 retweets 976 likes
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  5. Sep 13

    One thing I've generally found is that usually (not always) when people say "keep politics out of it"... They really mean keep politics out of it that I don't like.

    35 replies 159 retweets 1,659 likes
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  6. Sep 12

    Better chance of the GOP winning in 2024 with or without Trump as nominee? (Among Republicans)... 60% of Vaccinated GOPers say without Trump. 66% of unvaccinated say WITH Trump.

    28 replies 44 retweets 227 likes
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  7. Sep 12

    GO BILLS.

    11 replies 3 retweets 71 likes
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  8. Sep 12

    "Republicans need a historic polling miss to win the California recall." Newsom ("no") leads the recall by 15 points. Looked backed since 1998 at governor race polls. There have been 4 polling misses out of over 240 races with an error of 15 pts or larger.

    27 replies 33 retweets 160 likes
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  9. Sep 12

    A few interesting/impt trends ahead of 2018 in our polling from /. 1. Generic ballot a dead heat at 45% Dems to 44% GOP. 2. HIGHER enthusiasm to vote in 2022 at this point than to vote in 2018 at similar point in 2017.

    11 replies 21 retweets 108 likes
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  10. Sep 10

    CNN Audio’s fall pod slate was presented @ IAB Podcast Upfronts this week, including my soon-to-be-launched podcast Margins of Error! Listen to the premiere on 9/21. I’ll be looking @ data behind some interesting topics, like phone phobia & ghost belief

    2 replies 6 retweets 35 likes
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  11. Sep 10

    I find myself agreeing with Ryan a lot these days... The "no" on recall's lead has grown tremendously. The number of times a polling average is off 7 points is a number. Them being off 14 points? Not very many.

    8 replies 13 retweets 153 likes
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  12. Sep 10

    Absolutely a fan of this!

    4 replies 9 retweets 84 likes
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  13. Sep 9

    I'd be interested in what others think, but we've had some testing of vaccine penalties/mandates from Delta AND United Airlines. Both seem to be working fairly well. Certainly better than pretty much anything I've seen.

    9 replies 21 retweets 136 likes
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  14. Sep 9

    This most likely ain't gonna work for the GOP.

    Here's the California returned ballots breakdown by party registration compared to five days before Election Day 2020: 9/9/21 - 52.87% D / 24.56% R / 22.56% I (D+28.31%) 10/29/20 - 53.65% D / 22.41% R / 24.14% I (D+31.24%) Margin shift of R+2.93%
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    14 replies 32 retweets 363 likes
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  15. Sep 8

    Check out ’s new podcast, Total Recall: California’s Political Circus! It’s all about the events that led to the 2003 recall, and examines what that moment in history forecast about politics today. Listen:

    2021… 2003… wondering why recall elections exist in California? Episode 1 of my new podcast - Total Recall: California’s Political Circus will help explain. Check it out
    4 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
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  16. Sep 7

    Trump is clearly "running" right now for 2024. Whether he ultimately formally declares is another question...

    62 replies 32 retweets 466 likes
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  17. Sep 6

    The number of polls about Biden's approval rating is down by a third compared to an equivalent point in 2017. Same is true with number of generic ballot polls. Number of polls from pollsters who have previously been most accurate down even more.

    16 replies 24 retweets 124 likes
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  18. Sep 5

    The Yhonkays should fold. I don't say that as a Yhonkay hater. I say that as a fan of humanity.

    8 replies 1 retweet 75 likes
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  19. Sep 4

    Covid-19 vaccines are now as popular as Christmas trees... 75% of adults have gotten at least one shot... The same % of adults who have a Christmas Tree in December. (Also close to the 81% of Americans who thought Mother Teresa was a hero in 1997.)

    18 replies 73 retweets 386 likes
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  20. Sep 3

    The chance of Newsom getting recalled is clearly fading. He's up by ~10 points now in the polls with an approval rating above 50%. One thing I'll note: the polls at this point in the 2003 CA recall were off by nearly 10 points. So not over yet.

    36 replies 53 retweets 379 likes
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  21. Sep 3

    I feel like you can believe two things. 1. The long arc of history strongly suggests the Dems will lose control of the House next year. 2. These are weird times, and I don't have any real idea where Biden's approval rating will exactly be in six months let alone 14.

    36 replies 30 retweets 391 likes
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